Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.155029 0.171406 0.188126 0.206436 0.225881 0.245878 0.267958
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.134473 0.157426 0.181702 0.209157 0.239212 0.270986 0.306990
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.117602 0.144884 0.174647 0.209242 0.248069 0.290037 0.338563
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.105064 0.135595 0.169839 0.210604 0.257335 0.308784 0.369262
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.093490 0.126197 0.163859 0.209696 0.263259 0.323202 0.394685
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.086484 0.121451 0.162649 0.213742 0.274407 0.343212 0.426224
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.078721 0.115080 0.158912 0.214282 0.281045 0.357734 0.451271
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.071665 0.108998 0.155020 0.214185 0.286561 0.370679 0.474302
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.064829 0.102656 0.150344 0.212719 0.290094 0.381035 0.494120
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.060103 0.098722 0.148398 0.214367 0.297196 0.395488 0.518689
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.057473 0.097404 0.149646 0.219905 0.308999 0.415552 0.549969
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.053038 0.093261 0.146938 0.220177 0.314100 0.427412 0.571378
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.050652 0.091959 0.148024 0.225462 0.325700 0.447507 0.603174
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.047085 0.088694 0.146272 0.226895 0.332347 0.461509 0.627631
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.043126 0.084562 0.143101 0.226265 0.336222 0.472006 0.647792
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.040055 0.081552 0.141315 0.227341 0.342193 0.485059 0.671086
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.036569 0.077632 0.138029 0.226208 0.345158 0.494263 0.689593
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.034902 0.076497 0.138657 0.230370 0.355032 0.512175 0.718939
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.032351 0.073722 0.136741 0.230893 0.360017 0.523853 0.740523
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.029828 0.070798 0.134453 0.230769 0.364053 0.534272 0.760520
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.027148 0.067387 0.131258 0.229218 0.366064 0.542022 0.777127
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.025446 0.065575 0.130409 0.230944 0.372458 0.555411 0.800879
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.024780 0.065602 0.132389 0.236755 0.384442 0.576094 0.833973